IN a recent threat circular regarding the Israel-Iran conflict following US intervention, maritime Security firm Ambrey has reported that since the US military operations began, five publicly US-affiliated merchant ships have departed the Arabian/Persian Gulf, while none without US affiliation have entered.

Additionally, at least five merchant ships destined for the Gulf either turned back or delayed their arrival, including two without US affiliation, indicating broader market concerns. Several US-flagged vessels have since gathered in UAE territorial waters, according to London's Safety4Sea.

Although the threat to the Strait of Hormuz remains non-specific, it is more likely that any closure declared by Iran would target certain affiliations rather than a full blockade, as a complete closure would harm Iran's relations with neighbours and disrupt the global economy, including its partners, making it an unnecessary move.

Furthermore, no combat area designation has been made that would broadly disrupt shipping.

In the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, Ambrey assesses that the Houthis have lacked viable targets, explaining the current absence of incidents; however, they are expected to resume targeting US-affiliated ships when opportunities arise, though few such vessels transit the area.

According to Ambrey's June 18 Threat Circular on the Red Sea Crisis, only one publicly US-affiliated merchant ship has passed through Bab al Mandab since the US-Houthi ceasefire on May 6.

Furthermore, in Israel, no merchant ships have been damaged, but shipping operations have been disrupted during port activities.

Attacks on port cities have triggered alarms, temporarily suspended operations, and prompted crews to take shelter, with port activities typically resuming within an hour.

Additionally, offshore gas facilities in Israel have suspended operations temporarily.